Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.709698e-05 0.000044 0.000052 0.000061 0.000072 0.000082 0.000095
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.766721e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000074 0.000090 0.000110
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.151148e-05 0.000031 0.000043 0.000057 0.000075 0.000096 0.000122
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.780481e-05 0.000028 0.000041 0.000057 0.000079 0.000104 0.000136
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.434812e-05 0.000024 0.000038 0.000056 0.000080 0.000109 0.000146
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.167593e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000055 0.000081 0.000113 0.000156
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.403552e-06 0.000019 0.000033 0.000053 0.000081 0.000117 0.000164
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.382832e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000051 0.000080 0.000119 0.000171
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.608648e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000048 0.000078 0.000119 0.000174
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.409952e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000046 0.000078 0.000121 0.000181
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.129203e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000049 0.000083 0.000131 0.000197
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.372602e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000048 0.000084 0.000134 0.000206
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.503565e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000048 0.000087 0.000142 0.000222
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.677305e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000046 0.000087 0.000146 0.000233
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.098998e-06 0.000006 0.000019 0.000044 0.000087 0.000150 0.000244
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.776692e-07 0.000006 0.000018 0.000044 0.000090 0.000158 0.000260
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.816185e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000043 0.000090 0.000162 0.000272
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.852721e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000042 0.000091 0.000166 0.000284
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.498763e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000041 0.000091 0.000170 0.000294
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.257795e-08 0.000002 0.000013 0.000039 0.000090 0.000172 0.000302
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.703123e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000036 0.000087 0.000172 0.000307
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.237439e-09 0.000001 0.000010 0.000035 0.000087 0.000174 0.000316
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.745401e-09 0.000001 0.000010 0.000037 0.000093 0.000187 0.000340